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The "seesaw" performance of blue-chip stocks and small-cap stocks is vividly interpreted in this round of market. Large-cap blue chips and core assets with stable operation and better fundamentals have obviously underperformed the small-cap sector of emerging technology sectors.The "disappearing" low-priced stocks also reflect the style that funds are keen on "speculating small". The "roller coaster of low-priced stocks during the year: the number of stocks in half a year is reduced by 90%, and the liquidity drives the stocks to soar" published by CBN on December 8 pointed out that the number of A-share low-priced stocks (below 2 yuan) has been reduced by about 90% in the past six months, and the hot money has used the concept to speculate on related targets, pushing the low-priced stocks to rise sharply. Sunrise Oriental (603366.SH), Nanjing Chemical Fiber (600889.SH), Leo (002131.SZ), *ST Tongzhou (002205.SZ), Hainengda (002583.SZ), and Doushen Education (300010.SZ). As of December 9, there were 21 A-share low-priced stocks, one less than the previous trading day.[Robots are hot this year! 】

In this context, blue-chip stocks maintained their performance resilience. In the third quarter, the single-quarter growth rate of large-cap net profit represented by Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 increased significantly, with an increase of 8.75%. The performance of small and medium-sized stocks represented by CSI 500 and CSI 1000 dropped significantly, with growth rates of -14.7% and -9.4% in the third quarter respectively. In terms of industrial chain style, finance has been greatly restored, consumption has remained resilient, growth has continued to be under pressure, and the cycle growth rate has turned negative.It is worth noting that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. According to industry analysis, the overall tone of this meeting was positive, and the macro policy is expected to continue to increase next year. The meeting put forward "strengthening the regulation of unconventional and countercyclical policies", which was the first time that a major meeting mentioned the word "unconventional", or indicated that the follow-up policy measures would be more diversified. The importance of domestic demand expansion is further highlighted, and the scope and intensity of subsequent consumption promotion policies are expected to increase.According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.

Micro-disk stocks continued their strong performance this year. Since September 24th, the index of micro-disk stocks has risen by 61.4%, while only one of the 402 stocks in the sector has fallen, with an average increase of 44.03%, which greatly outperformed the indexes of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 and Shanghai 50. The cumulative increase of 19 stocks including Renzhi (002629.SZ), Shandong Huapeng (603021.SH), Xingtu Xinke (688081.SH) and Lianxiang (603272.SH) exceeded 80%.When will the market style switch?